University of Wisconsin Digital Collections
Link to University of Wisconsin Digital Collections
Link to University of Wisconsin Digital Collections
Foreign Relations of the United States

Page View

United States Department of State / Foreign relations of the United States, 1952-1954. China and Japan (in two parts)
(1952-1954)

The China area,   pp. 1-1061 ff. PDF (381.2 MB)


Page 25


THE CHINA AREA
  7. During the period of this estimate, the Communists will prob-
ably conduct reconnaissance, nuisance, or destruction raids (either
by air or sea) against Nationalist-held offshore islands and may as-
sault and capture some of these islands. However, we do not be-
lieve such actions will necessarily indicate an imminent invasion of
Taiwan.
  8. Over the longer term, we believe that the Chinese Communists
will attempt to secure control over Taiwan by diplomatic means if
possible; otherwise by military action when a favorable opportunity
presents itself. So long as the relative military strength of the
United States and the Communists in the Far East remains sub-
stantially unchanged, and so long as US policy with respect to
Taiwan remains unchanged, we believe the Chinese Communists
will not hazard a military attack on Taiwan.
  [Here follow a discussion of Chinese Communist and Nationalist
military capabilities and an analysis of Chinese Communist inten-
tions with regard to Taiwan; three annexes concerning the capa-
bilities of the Chinese Communist and Nationalist air forces, ports
and landing beaches, and weather conditions in the Taiwan Straits;
and a map of Taiwan and South China coast.]
                              No. 14
Truman Library, Truman papers, PSF-Subject file
Memorandum for the President on the Discussion at the 114th
  Meeting of the National Security Council, Washington, April 2,
  19521
                              [Extracts]
TOP SECRET
  The following notes contain a summary of the discussion at the
114th Meeting of the National Security Council, at which you pre-
  ' Prepared on Apr. 3, presumably by the NSC Secretariat. According to the
min-
utes of the meeting, which consist of a list of participants and a brief
list of deci-
sions taken at the meeting, the following members of the Council attended:
Presi-
dent Truman, presiding, Vice President Alben W. Barkley, Secretary of State
Ach-
eson, Acting Secretary of Defense Foster, Director for Mutual Security W.
Averell
Harriman, and Chairman of the National Security Resources Board Jack Gorrie.
Others present included Acting Secretary of the Treasury Edward H. Foley,
Jr.,
Acting Director of Defense Mobilization John R. Steelman, Special Consultant
to the
President Sidney W. Souers, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Omar
N.
Bradley, and Acting Director of Central Intelligence Allen W. Dulles. (Minutes
of
the 114th meeting of the NSC, Apr. 2, 1952, Truman Library, Truman papers,
PSF-
Subject file)
25


Go up to Top of Page